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GoldSim | 放射性废弃物处置评估软件

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GoldSim是一款优秀的风险模拟软件,用于在商业、工程和科学领域建模。GoldSim通过模拟未来的性能来支持决策和风险分析,同时定量地表示所有复杂系统中固有的不确定性和风险。GoldSim被多国组织用来进行放射性废弃物处置的评估。

 

GoldSim仿真软件允许您创建计算机模型,来模拟工程中复杂系统的性能。一般来说,这类模型的目的是模拟系统未来的行为,并决定什么可以做,提高其性能。您可以使用这些模型来获得对系统的诊断理解,询问“如果”的问题,并评估可供选择的设计、策略和计划。

 

该软件是高度图形化的、可扩展的,能够定量表示所有的复杂系统固有的不确定性,并允许您创建令人信服的模型,便于与不同的受众进行解释。这些和其他特有的功能使GoldSim成为理想的决策支持工具,支持多种应用程序,其中大部分建模都属于以下三类:


 环境系统建模

  • 利用GoldSim公司的环境建模能力,解决与生态和自然资源管理、污染防治、危险废物管理和环境修复相关的问题。

 工程系统建模

  • 构建复杂工程系统的集成模型,以促进可靠性和风险分析,并支持概念设计和/或操作。

 业务建模

  • 超越电子表格和项目管理软件,以构建实际表示与您的组织相关联的复杂依赖项和不确定性的业务模型。使用GoldSim进行战略规划、风险分析、投资组合分析、成本建模、供应链建模和金融工程。

 

GoldSim的重要特色:

  • 物件导向

  • 利用图示物件依层次建构出分析之概念

  • 提供多种内建物件 (elements),每种物件均有其内含的功能

  • GoldSim提供针对物件进行定率与机率模拟方式,与参数取样的方式

 

模式的建构要素

  • GoldSim 元件–GoldSim中用来建构模式的图形物件,每种物件均有其内含的功能

  • 定率式–使用的资料为单一数值(如INPAG-N 是个定率式分析的程式)

  • 机率式–使用的资料其数值为一不确定性的范围或分布

  • Monte Carlo 模拟–资料的数值为一不确定性分布,当进行多次分析时,对每一分布采取随机取样

  • Latin Hypercube 取样–一种确保对分布型参数 随机取样时能在所分布的范围均匀取样的方法

 

Contaminant Transport Module(CT/RT)模块

  • 模拟处置设施之核种在工程障壁与自然环境传输之情形

  • Species and Media

  • Pathways

  • Sources

  • Receptor


其中RT模块包含CT模块的所有功能,RT模块还额外包含了支持模拟放射性成分从处置场所的释放和传输的功能。特别是如下四点:

  • The ability to simulate decay chains (of unlimited length);

  • A specialized element to simulate engineered barriers (e.g., waste packages and other engineered disposal components);

  • A specialized element to automate generation of large cell networks; and

  • A specialized element to facilitate simulation of transport in complex fractured rock networks.



 

 

GoldSim在放射性废弃物评估中的应用

  • 美国DOE Yucca Mountain Project

  • 美国DOE Waste Isolation Pilot Plant

  • 美国Nevada Test Site

  • 美国Los Alamos LLW sites

  • 德国与加拿大的铀矿渣处理

  • 日本、台湾、法国、西班牙等HLW 处置与管理

  • 美国与欧洲等LILW 设施评估

 

 

 

GoldSim is the premier Monte Carlo simulation software solution for dynamically modeling complex systems in business, engineering and science. GoldSim supports decision and risk analysis by simulating future performance while quantitatively representing the uncertainty and risks inherent in all complex systems.

 

GoldSim is a general purpose simulator that utilizes a hybrid of several simulation approaches, combining an extension of system dynamics with some aspects of discrete event simulation, and embedding the dynamic simulation engine within a Monte Carlo simulation framework.

 

GoldSim simulation software allows you to create computer models that simulate the performance of complex systems in business, engineering and science. In general, the objective of such models is to simulate the future behavior of the system, and determine what can be done improve its performance. You can use these models to gain a diagnostic understanding of the system, ask "what if" questions about it, and evaluate alternative designs, policies, and plans.


 

The software is highly graphical and extensible, able to quantitatively represent the uncertainty inherent in all complex systems, and allows you to create compelling models that are easy to communicate and explain to diverse audiences. These and other unique capabilities make GoldSim the ideal decision-support tool to support a wide variety of applications, most of which fall into one of the following three categories:

 

Environmental Systems Modeling

Utilize GoldSim’s unique environmental modeling capabilities to address issues related to ecological and natural resource management, pollution prevention, hazardous waste management, and environmental restoration.

 

Engineered Systems Modeling

Build integrated models of complex engineered systems to facilitate reliability and risk analyses, and support conceptual design and/or operations.

 

Business Modeling

Move beyond spreadsheets and project management software to build business models that realistically represent the complex dependencies and uncertainties associated with your organization. Use GoldSim for strategic planning, risk analysis, portfolio analysis, cost modeling, supply chain modeling and financial engineering.


系统要求

GoldSim是一个Windows®桌面应用程序。Windows 7(32位或64位版本),Windows 8.1和Windows 10是受支持的操作系统。不支持Windows XP , Windows Server 2008和更早版本,Windows RT和基于ARM的CPU。

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